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Doctoral candidate: Mungla Sieck

Static conservation area concepts under climate change: consequences and options for future management

Short description:

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Thesis description:

The project consists of two main parts. The first is a literature review to determine the state-of-the art in modeling terrestrial protected areas under climate change, with the aim of evaluating and detecting trends and gaps in the current approaches being employed, as well as to provide a useful overview and guidelines for future research (Sieck et al. 2011).
In the second part we focus on a specific protected area, the Isle Royal National Park in Michigan, USA. We develop an individual-based model of a tri-trophic community (resource-herbivore-predator) under climate change using the software NetLogo. Therefore, we utilize the extensive 50 year data-set of moose (Alces alces) and wolves (Canis lupus) of the Isle Royale National Park to incorporate individual characteristics like fitness as well as biotic interactions of the three trophic levels into the model.
Focussing on the shifts of seasonal changes we examine: (i) how the temporal aspect of climatic changes influences individual fitness and (ii) how that translates into the dynamics of the tri-trophic system.


 

Supervisors:

Prof Dr. Florian Jeltsch (University of Potsdam)
Prof Dr. Pierre Ibisch (University for Sustainable Development Eberswalde)